Saturday, 3 October 2009

How to beat Cardiff City

Score first. The Bluebirds have lost four games this season and have conceded first in each of them.

Last season, City lost only 50% of the games in which they went a goal down. City came from behind to win a league game just once last season - on 18 March 2009 against Watford. That required a Ross McCormack penalty in the seventh minute of injury time. Nine times last season City rescued a point after conceding first.

The last ten times City have conceded first, only twice have they avoided defeat. This suggests that when City are hot they are scorching (see the 6-1 demolition of Derby County, 3-0 victory over Bristol City, 4-0 triumph against Scunthorpe United ...) but that when they are slow out of the blocks, concede and are forced to break down a team they struggle.

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